Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
