Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.