SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
35.44% ( -0.33) | 24.92% ( 0.03) | 39.63% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.16) | 45.41% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.16) | 67.74% ( 0.16) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.27) | 25.01% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( -0.37) | 59.67% ( 0.36) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( 0.08) | 22.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( 0.12) | 56.48% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.63% |
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