SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Cardiff MU |
43.56% ( 0.03) | 26.51% ( -0.06) | 29.93% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( 0.26) | 53.76% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( 0.22) | 75.24% ( -0.21) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( 0.13) | 24.5% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.18) | 58.97% ( -0.17) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.16) | 32.69% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( 0.18) | 69.25% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.93% |
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