SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
28.24% ( -0.06) | 26.05% ( -0.12) | 45.71% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( 0.43) | 52.73% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( 0.37) | 74.36% ( -0.37) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.18) | 33.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 0.2) | 70.05% ( -0.2) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.27) | 23.02% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( 0.4) | 56.83% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
