SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
28.59% ( -0.13) | 24.53% ( 0.04) | 46.88% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.23) | 46.15% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( -0.22) | 68.45% ( 0.21) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.21) | 29.74% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( -0.25) | 65.8% ( 0.24) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( -0.06) | 19.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( -0.1) | 51.82% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.88% |
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