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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Cardiff MU

Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
47.16%23.94%28.89%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65%43.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26%65.74%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45%18.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21%49.79%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9%28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23%63.76%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 47.16%
    Cardiff MU 28.89%
    Draw 23.93%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.39%
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-1 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.89%

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