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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
28.49% ( -0.3) | 24.12% ( 0.04) | 47.39% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.37) | 44.44% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( -0.36) | 66.81% ( 0.37) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.4) | 28.94% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.5) | 64.82% ( 0.51) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.04) | 18.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( -0.06) | 50.36% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.39% |
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