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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
BT

Cardiff MU
1 - 0
Bala Town

Evans (66' pen.)
Craven (42'), Jones (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Arsan (28'), Ramsey (65'), Smith (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, November 5 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawBala Town
14.22% (0.339 0.34) 20.05% (0.174 0.17) 65.72% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.29% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)67.24% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.54% (0.474 0.47)43.46% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.32% (0.392 0.39)79.68% (-0.39 -0.39)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.158 -0.16)12.82% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (-0.327 -0.33)39.15% (0.329 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 14.22%
    Bala Town 65.71%
    Draw 20.05%
Cardiff MUDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 4.64% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 3.97% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.1% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 14.22%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.05%
0-2 @ 11.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 11.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.13% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 65.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, November 5 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-3 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-4 Bala Town
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-6 Bala Town
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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