Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
14.22% ( 0.34) | 20.05% ( 0.17) | 65.72% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( -0.04) | 44.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% ( -0.04) | 67.24% ( 0.04) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.54% ( 0.47) | 43.46% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.32% ( 0.39) | 79.68% ( -0.39) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% ( -0.16) | 12.82% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.85% ( -0.33) | 39.15% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.22% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.05% | 0-2 @ 11.75% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.05% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 65.71% |
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