SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
60.01% ( -0.05) | 21.53% ( 0.03) | 18.46% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.07) | 43.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( -0.06) | 65.98% ( 0.06) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( -0.04) | 14.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.25% ( -0.07) | 41.75% ( 0.07) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( -0.01) | 37.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( -0.01) | 74.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.46% |
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