SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Barry Town United |
52.64% ( 0.34) | 22.44% ( -0.09) | 24.92% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.2) | 39.54% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.21) | 61.88% ( -0.21) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( 0.18) | 15.11% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( 0.34) | 43.67% ( -0.35) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.08) | 29.02% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -0.11) | 64.93% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.92% |
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