Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
55.14% ( 0.03) | 23.09% ( -0) | 21.77% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.1% ( -0.02) | 45.9% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% ( -0.02) | 68.21% ( 0.02) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0) | 16.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 0.01) | 46.25% ( -0.01) |
Colwyn Bay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( -0.03) | 35.24% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.77% |
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