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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
5 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Ware (26'), Venables (53' pen.), Reffell (54'), Owen (59'), Phillips (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Creamer (36'), Owen (59'), Cushion (90+3')
Creamer (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawColwyn Bay
55.14% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 23.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)35.24% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)72% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 55.14%
    Colwyn Bay 21.77%
    Draw 23.09%
Pen-y-BontDrawColwyn Bay
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.14%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Barry
Saturday, February 10 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 4-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, February 24 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League


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