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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Newtown AFC |
46.59% ( -0.23) | 23.11% ( 0.09) | 30.29% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.36% ( -0.37) | 38.63% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.06% ( -0.39) | 60.94% ( 0.39) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.23) | 16.94% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( -0.41) | 47.02% ( 0.41) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.1) | 24.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.13) | 59.4% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.21% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.3% |
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