SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Barry Town United |
45.72% ( 0.32) | 25.01% ( -0.04) | 29.27% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.01) | 47.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( 0.01) | 70.07% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.14) | 20.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0.22) | 53.74% ( -0.22) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.19) | 30.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.23) | 66.29% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.72% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.27% |
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