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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Newtown AFC |
49.79% ( -0.07) | 23.97% ( 0.01) | 26.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.02) | 45.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.02) | 67.71% ( 0.02) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.04) | 18.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( -0.06) | 49.36% ( 0.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.03) | 31.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( 0.03) | 67.43% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.23% |
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