SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
64.89% ( 0.25) | 19.08% ( -0.04) | 16.02% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.22) | 36.61% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.23% ( -0.24) | 58.77% ( 0.24) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( -0) | 10.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.57% ( -0) | 34.42% ( 0.01) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.39) | 35.92% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( -0.4) | 72.69% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.89% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.02% |
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