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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
50.16% ( -0.35) | 23.79% ( 0.12) | 26.05% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0.35) | 44.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( -0.34) | 67.08% ( 0.34) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.27) | 17.9% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( -0.46) | 48.7% ( 0.45) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.01) | 30.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -0.01) | 67.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.05% |
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