Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Cardiff MU
36.07% ( -0.04)	26.31% ( 0.01)	37.63% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.51% (

-0.03)

51.5% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7% (

-0.03)

73.3% (

0.03)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

-0.04)

27.52% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0.05)

63.03% (

0.05)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38%

26.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15% (

-0)

61.85% (

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 36.07%

Cardiff MU 37.63%

Draw 26.31%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.07%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.63%