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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
36.07% ( -0.04) | 26.31% ( 0.01) | 37.63% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -0.03) | 51.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.03) | 73.3% ( 0.03) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -0.04) | 27.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -0.05) | 63.03% ( 0.05) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( -0) | 61.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.63% |
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