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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
63.69% ( -0.09) | 21.77% ( 0.03) | 14.54% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.81% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.01) | 51.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.01) | 73.17% ( 0.01) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( -0.03) | 15.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -0.06) | 44.4% ( 0.06) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.09) | 46.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% ( 0.07) | 82.46% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 63.69% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.54% |
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