SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cardiff MU | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Cardiff MU | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Flint Town United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
26.79% ( -1.57) | 27.17% ( -0.49) | 46.04% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( 0.96) | 57.73% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% ( 0.75) | 78.48% ( -0.75) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.76) | 37.27% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -0.76) | 74.06% ( 0.76) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 1.47) | 25.05% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( 2) | 59.73% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.79% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.42)1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.03% |
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