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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
26.79% (-1.566 -1.57) 27.17% (-0.49 -0.49) 46.04% (2.06 2.06)
Both teams to score 47.01% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27% (0.96 0.96)57.73% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53% (0.752 0.75)78.48% (-0.748 -0.75)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.759 -0.76)37.27% (0.76300000000001 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-0.758 -0.76)74.06% (0.76100000000001 0.76)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (1.473 1.47)25.05% (-1.471 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (1.996 2)59.73% (-1.992 -1.99)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 26.79%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 46.03%
    Draw 27.16%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.542 -0.54)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.79%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.418 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.355 0.36)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.272 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.095 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.176 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 5-0 Druids
Monday, April 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Haverfordwest
Monday, April 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 0-4 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-3 New Saints
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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