Caernarfon
0 - 1
Connah's Quay

Hughes (23'), Donohue (53'), Simpson (79')
Hughes (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eardley (68')
Harrington (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
14.29%	18.65%	67.07%

Both teams to score 54.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71%

38.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.43%

60.57%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77%

39.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06%

75.94%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46%

10.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.75%

34.25%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 14.29%

Connah's Quay Nomads 67.06%

Draw 18.65%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.07% 1-0 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.29%	1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.65%	0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 7.35% 0-4 @ 4.42% 1-4 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-5 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.86% Other @ 4.53% Total : 67.06%