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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
 

New Saints
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

McManus (17', 64'), Williams (41')
Marriott (31')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wood (27'), Snaith (52')
Snaith (62')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
75.34%15.3%9.35%
Both teams to score 49.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2%35.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12%57.87%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02%7.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.85%28.15%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.11%45.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37%81.63%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 75.34%
    Pen-y-Bont 9.35%
    Draw 15.3%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 11.7%
3-0 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 6.24%
4-1 @ 4.86%
5-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.89%
6-0 @ 1.33%
6-1 @ 1.04%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 75.34%
1-1 @ 7.21%
0-0 @ 3.66%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.3%
0-1 @ 2.85%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 9.35%

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