New Saints
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

McManus (12', 49' pen.), Clark (27')
Redmond (68'), Robles (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Disney (47' pen.)
Disney (17'), Holmes (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
57.74%	22.91%	19.34%

Both teams to score 50.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76%

48.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61%

70.39%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57%

16.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89%

46.11%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.95%

39.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.23%

75.77%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 57.73%

Connah's Quay Nomads 19.34%

Draw 22.9%

The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.73%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.9%	0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.34%