Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
