SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Barry Town United |
45.9% ( -0.16) | 24.72% ( 0) | 29.38% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.07) | 46.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( 0.07) | 68.82% ( -0.07) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -0.04) | 20.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( -0.06) | 52.75% ( 0.06) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.14) | 29.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( 0.17) | 65.37% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.38% |
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