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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
37.14% ( 0.04) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 39.16% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.06) | 39.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.06) | 61.67% ( 0.06) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0) | 21.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0) | 54.29% ( 0) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.05) | 20.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( -0.08) | 52.77% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 39.16% |
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