SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
26.29% ( 0.11) | 22.29% ( 0.19) | 51.41% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.85) | 37.57% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.19% ( -0.91) | 59.81% ( 0.9) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.37) | 26.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -0.49) | 62.28% ( 0.48) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.4) | 14.83% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( -0.77) | 43.13% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.17% Total : 51.41% |
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