SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
57.06% ( -0.09) | 23.32% ( 0.01) | 19.63% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.04) | 49.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.04) | 71.55% ( -0.04) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.02) | 17.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.03) | 47.35% ( 0.03) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.1) | 39.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( 0.1) | 76.18% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.63% |
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