SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
27.16% ( -0.01) | 22.64% ( -0) | 50.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.8% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.01) | 38.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.23% ( 0.01) | 60.77% ( -0.02) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0) | 26.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% | 62.1% ( -0) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( 0.01) | 15.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% ( 0.02) | 44.51% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.21% |
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