SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
21.57% ( -0.06) | 22.69% ( -0.04) | 55.73% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.08) | 44.38% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( 0.08) | 66.76% ( -0.08) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.01) | 34.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( -0.01) | 71.29% ( 0.01) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.06) | 15.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( 0.11) | 44.9% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.73% |
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