SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
49.99% ( -0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.03) | 24.26% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.05) | 54.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.04) | 75.62% ( 0.04) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0.06) | 21.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( -0.09) | 54.88% ( 0.09) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% ( 0.03) | 37.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( 0.03) | 74.33% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.26% |
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