SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Flint Town United | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pen-y-Bont | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bala Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
42.33% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0) | 46.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.01) | 68.46% ( -0.01) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0) | 21.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -0) | 55.01% ( 0) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( 0.01) | 62.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.72% |
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