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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
33.72% ( 0.03) | 26.87% ( 0.02) | 39.41% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.09) | 54.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.08) | 75.51% ( 0.08) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.03) | 30.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -0.04) | 66.41% ( 0.04) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.07) | 26.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( -0.09) | 62.12% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.41% |
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