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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reiten (28')
Ingle (54'), Cuthbert (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Juventus
Wednesday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Lyon Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

Chelsea will face a difficult challenge on Wednesday, but having avoided defeat in all six of their Champions League games this season, we think that they will hold Lyon to a draw, which would represent a positive result for the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawChelsea Women
43.7% (-0.879 -0.88) 25.31% (0.162 0.16) 30.99% (0.716 0.72)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.393 -0.39)48.35% (0.394 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.359 -0.36)70.49% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.571 -0.57)22.09% (0.57 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.868 -0.87)55.45% (0.869 0.87)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.289 0.29)29.19% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.355 0.36)65.13% (-0.355 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 43.7%
    Chelsea Women 30.99%
    Draw 25.3%
Lyon WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.7%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Juventus
Wednesday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 0-1 Lyon
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Zurich
Wednesday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Zurich 0-3 Lyon
Thursday, November 24 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Lyon
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 1-5 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 2-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 PSG
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


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