MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 04:15:08
SM
Sheff Utd vs. Sunderland: 9 hrs 45 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brighton

Salmon (5'), Daly (44'), Pacheco (74')
Daly (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Parris (90+4')
Agyemang (42'), Stefanovic (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 4 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Arsenal
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Aston Villa and Brighton have both been involved in exciting matches in recent weeks, and we think that there will be plenty more goals to enjoy in Saturday's fixture. We also believe that home advantage could give the Villans a slight edge, especially as they have already recorded a head-to-head home win in 2025, which is why we are predicting a Villa win for the day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
47.95% (-0.546 -0.55) 20.98% (0.158 0.16) 31.06% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 71.07% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.4% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)27.59% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.76% (-0.738 -0.74)48.23% (0.732 0.73)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.376 -0.38)12.34% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (-0.79199999999999 -0.79)38.15% (0.786 0.79)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.098000000000013 -0.1)18.92% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (-0.157 -0.16)50.43% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 47.95%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 31.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 47.95%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 4 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 30 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-4 Man Utd
Sunday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Arsenal
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Brighton
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, April 19 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, March 23 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .