SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Reading Women |
38.05% ( 0.81) | 25.22% ( -0.25) | 36.73% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 1.1) | 46.67% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( 1.03) | 68.94% ( -1.03) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.94) | 24.16% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 1.32) | 58.48% ( -1.32) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.2) | 24.88% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% ( 0.27) | 59.49% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.73% |
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