SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Arsenal Women |
13.21% ( 1.03) | 18.32% ( 0.62) | 68.47% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.29) | 39.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.3) | 61.61% ( 0.3) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 1.43) | 41.41% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( 1.24) | 77.92% ( -1.24) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.54% ( -0.49) | 10.46% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.93% ( -1.11) | 34.07% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.21% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.32% | 0-2 @ 11.03% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 8.31% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 4.69% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.46% |
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