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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Arsenal Women

Pajor (19'), Jane Jonsdottir (24')
Roord (28'), Oberdorf (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Souza (45'), Blackstenius (69')
McCabe (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

Arsenal will head to Germany without a number of their key players, and after losing four of their last five competitive away games, we think claiming a positive result may prove difficult. Although we think the Gunners will fall to a defeat in the first leg, we expect the deficit to be slender one, which would keep Arsenal in the tie ahead of the home leg on May 1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
49.53% (-2.018 -2.02) 23.15% (0.519 0.52) 27.31% (1.494 1.49)
Both teams to score 60.09% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-1.186 -1.19)40.79% (1.181 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-1.225 -1.23)63.17% (1.218 1.22)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-1.155 -1.16)16.66% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (-2.103 -2.1)46.51% (2.099 2.1)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.473 0.47)27.89% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.602 0.6)63.51% (-0.60699999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 49.53%
    Arsenal Women 27.31%
    Draw 23.15%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.389 0.39)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.296 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.146 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: St Polten 2-8 Wolfsburg
Thursday, December 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Slavia Prague
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-2 Roma
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-0 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 29 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-5 Arsenal Women
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-0 Arsenal Women
Tuesday, March 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League


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