SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
42.74% ( 0.16) | 23.78% ( -0.02) | 33.49% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.07) | 40.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( 0.07) | 62.84% ( -0.07) |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.1) | 19.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( 0.16) | 50.94% ( -0.16) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -0.05) | 23.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -0.07) | 57.97% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.49% |
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