SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 80.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester City Women |
80.46% ( -0.06) | 13.17% ( 0.04) | 6.38% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( -0.1) | 36.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( -0.11) | 58.93% ( 0.11) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.88% ( -0.03) | 7.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.07% ( -0.09) | 25.93% ( 0.09) |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.03% ( -0.01) | 53.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.74% ( -0.01) | 87.26% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester City Women |
| 2-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 80.45% | 1-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 13.17% | 0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.38% |
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