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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
3 - 1
Brighton Women

Sarri (11' og.), Blakstad (19'), Coombs (26')
Ouahabi (52'), Morgan (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lee (90+3')
Sarri (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Man City Women
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-3 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Brighton have performed well in their last three games, but we think that their unbeaten run will come to an end against an in-form Manchester City side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.02%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.63%) and 5-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.86%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
95.02% (-0.121 -0.12) 3.94% (0.131 0.13) 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 29.65% (-1.557 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.84% (-1.298 -1.3)19.16% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.11% (-1.907 -1.91)36.89% (1.907 1.91)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.14% (-0.154 -0.15)1.86% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
90.74% (-0.625 -0.63)9.26% (0.625 0.63)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.21% (-1.537 -1.54)69.79% (1.537 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.11% (-0.57 -0.57)94.89% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 95.02%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1.04%
    Draw 3.94%
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 13.68% (0.6 0.6)
4-0 @ 13.63% (0.31 0.31)
5-0 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.654 0.65)
6-0 @ 7.22% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.434 0.43)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.185 -0.19)
7-0 @ 4.11% (-0.176 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.91% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-1 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.6% (-0.218 -0.22)
8-0 @ 2.05% (-0.135 -0.14)
7-1 @ 1.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
9-0 @ 0.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 5.57%
Total : 95.02%
1-1 @ 1.86% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 3.94%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 1.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Man City Women
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Reading Women 0-3 Man City Women
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-3 Man City Women
Saturday, October 22 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Man City Women
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-3 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 4-5 Brighton Women
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-8 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 23 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 4-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-1 Reading Women
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Women's Super League


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