Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.02%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.63%) and 5-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.86%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
95.02% ( -0.12) | 3.94% ( 0.13) | 1.04% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 29.65% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.84% ( -1.3) | 19.16% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.11% ( -1.91) | 36.89% ( 1.91) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.14% ( -0.15) | 1.86% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
90.74% ( -0.63) | 9.26% ( 0.63) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
30.21% ( -1.54) | 69.79% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
5.11% ( -0.57) | 94.89% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
3-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.6) 4-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.31) 5-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.65) 6-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.19) 7-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.22) 8-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 7-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.16) 9-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 5.57% Total : 95.02% | 1-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.78% Total : 3.94% | Other @ 1.04% Total : 1.04% |
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