SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
49.29% ( 0.54) | 22.76% ( 0.27) | 27.95% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% ( -1.86) | 38.45% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.26% ( -2) | 60.74% ( 2) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.5) | 15.88% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( -0.92) | 45.1% ( 0.92) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -1.48) | 26.25% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( -2.03) | 61.35% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.54)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.95% |
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