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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Israel
2 - 1
Moldova

Zahavi (28'), Dabour (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicolaescu (90+4')
Reabciuk (45+3'), Spataru (82'), Rata (90')
Reabciuk (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
IsraelDrawMoldova
63.49%22.4%14.11%
Both teams to score 42.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35%16.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5%46.5%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48%49.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68%84.32%
Score Analysis
    Israel 63.48%
    Moldova 14.11%
    Draw 22.39%
IsraelDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 14.78%
2-0 @ 13.24%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 5.57%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.96%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.8%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 14.11%

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