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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
Hampden Park
IN

Scotland
3 - 2
Israel

McGinn (30'), Dykes (57'), McTominay (90+4')
McGinn (49'), Robertson (55'), Gilmour (81'), Patterson (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zahavi (5'), Dabour (32')
Natcho (44'), Zahavi (56'), Bitton (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawIsrael
51.82%22.89%25.28%
Both teams to score 59.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68%41.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28%63.71%
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97%16.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62%45.37%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3%29.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25%65.75%
Score Analysis
    Scotland 51.82%
    Israel 25.28%
    Draw 22.89%
ScotlandDrawIsrael
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.28%

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