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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
UN

Bolivia
3 - 0
Uruguay

Carlos Arce (29', 79'), Moreno (45')
Quinteros (21')
Algaranaz (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawUruguay
28%23.94%48.07%
Both teams to score 57.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69%66.31%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97%29.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07%64.93%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59%18.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43%49.57%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 28%
    Uruguay 48.07%
    Draw 23.93%
BoliviaDrawUruguay
2-1 @ 6.92%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-1 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 5.34%
0-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.07%

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