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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 2am UK
 
BN

Peru
3 - 0
Bolivia

Lapadula (9'), Cueva (31'), Pena (39')
Cueva (32'), Trauco (50')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gonzales (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawBolivia
61.23%24.32%14.46%
Both teams to score 38.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.61%60.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46%80.54%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38%51.62%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.43%52.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.63%86.37%
Score Analysis
    Peru 61.22%
    Bolivia 14.46%
    Draw 24.3%
PeruDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 16.8%
2-0 @ 13.67%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 4.77%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 61.22%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 14.46%

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