Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cape Verde in this match.
