SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Tunisia |
47.11% ( 0.25) | 26.91% ( -0.01) | 25.99% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.09) | 57.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( -0.08) | 78.1% ( 0.08) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.08) | 24.32% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( 0.11) | 58.71% ( -0.11) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.26) | 37.7% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( -0.25) | 74.48% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.99% |
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