Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
