Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
